Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 20.994269 24.200185 27.657538 31.654142 36.137327 41.001547 46.668679
2025-10-05 16.564606 21.264851 26.800212 33.753597 42.204122 52.087743 64.464184
2025-10-12 13.826581 19.316526 26.237895 35.496210 47.433479 62.172932 81.596821
2025-10-19 11.480569 17.260812 24.986716 35.882189 50.633519 69.667237 95.795741
2025-10-26 9.688072 15.561178 23.830553 36.045172 53.293939 76.398832 109.222712
2025-11-02 8.128598 13.898976 22.429515 35.579936 54.875742 81.606764 120.757948
2025-11-09 6.843860 12.424167 21.063744 34.924925 55.995845 86.095644 131.412597
2025-11-16 5.774878 11.110873 19.747401 34.138900 56.753620 89.991835 141.318408
2025-11-23 4.792314 9.777968 18.214164 32.808131 56.495837 92.282983 148.905258
2025-11-30 4.397976 9.415580 18.217845 33.909717 60.043380 100.391503 165.455130
2025-12-07 4.055650 9.093519 18.240748 35.016921 63.637350 108.723956 182.715577
2025-12-14 3.526421 8.326854 17.382406 34.516494 64.524332 112.837299 193.632635
2025-12-21 2.971270 7.448652 16.272591 33.568541 64.763860 116.219814 204.082092
2025-12-28 2.842357 7.457270 16.857216 35.773866 70.641862 129.186479 230.682035
2026-01-04 2.679786 7.363686 17.226836 37.605017 75.985286 141.565034 256.961986
2026-01-11 2.396941 6.941313 16.875351 38.010537 78.775595 149.781059 276.772098
2026-01-18 2.130423 6.505516 16.434504 38.181781 81.120534 157.327824 295.789382
2026-01-25 1.848518 5.972724 15.709550 37.692917 82.162095 162.621825 311.187074
2026-02-01 1.592000 5.450600 14.933081 37.004567 82.741763 167.088071 325.319720
2026-02-08 1.362931 4.951533 14.136352 36.178416 82.963043 170.880054 338.399801
2026-02-15 1.135625 4.400993 13.132383 34.779409 81.903039 172.221006 347.132981
2026-02-22 1.064389 4.312448 13.260509 35.937510 86.147328 183.652683 374.527577
2026-03-01 0.998842 4.228146 13.387801 37.101250 90.471452 195.429256 403.019413